Differences in recovery rates between old and new U.S. municipal credit default swap contracts, where the old rates are implied and the new rates are fixed in the contract, could lead to arbitrage should two firms disagree on the implied rate of recovery in the event of a default.

“A potential disconnect or a difference in opinion regarding recovery rates can lead to arbitrage trades,” said Vikram Rai, credit strategist at Citigroup in New York. He said an end user could buy protection on a name if the firm thinks that the rate of recovery will be lower than the assumed or contract....


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